Earlier this year, predictions that a recession would soon grip the global economy were rampant. But, more than halfway through 2023, China is the only major economy that appears to be at significant ...

I use Phillips curve type regressions to assess the relative contributions of demand and supply forces to U.S. inflation during the pandemic era from February 2020 onward and the decade following the ...

Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...