In our opinion, it’s not the case that the US economy has avoided a recession, but rather that the current cycle has been elongated. We use the commodity/gold ratio (the Spot Commodity Index (GNX) ...

Economic cycles are a fundamental aspect of the financial landscape, influencing everything from job markets to personal investments. These cycles typically consist of three phases: expansion, ...

The S&P 500 has outperformed the Russell 2000 since March 2021. Small-cap stocks’ tendency to outperform during recessions and early-stage expansions may be related to interest rate sensitivity. Over ...

The healthcare sector has been the most negatively correlated with economic cycles, according to a BofA Sector Focus Point report. Analysts, led by Savita Subramanian, wrote that health care (NYSEARCA ...

What if owners of small companies could finally enjoy stretches of economic expansion without worrying about looming recessions–and didn’t have to make defensive moves and adjust their businesses to ...

As the U.S. economy shrinks, fears and predictions of a recession continue to grow. New Commerce Department data shows that the country's gross domestic product (GDP) contracted at an annual rate of 0 ...

Keynesian economics is a macroeconomic theory that advocates for active government intervention to manage economic cycles, particularly during recessions and depressions. Developed by British ...

The current economic climate has been a topic of intense discussion and speculation. Many wonder if we are heading toward a recession with the economy slowing down and the stock market trading at high ...

Discover how induced taxes work as economic stabilizers, influencing spending and income to moderate economic cycles and steady macroeconomic performance.

What is a recession? What are the key indicators of a recession? How do government and central banks respond to recessions? What are the causes of recessions? How can individuals and businesses ...

The S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, and Dow Jones Industrial Average have all surged to multiple record-closing highs in 2025. We appear to be witnessing a clear bifurcation between the health of the U.S.

Market cycles induce sectoral rotation which impacts small-medium companies significantally at various times. For example—in investment driven cycles, infrastructure/mid-cap goods play catch-up as ...