Jun 28, 2023 · Despite these differences in approach, the outputs of our new polling averages look pretty similar to the old ones. That’s a good sign; if two independent models arrive at …

Apr 21, 2023 · Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight.

Jul 13, 2016 · Is this an accident? According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which tracks all gun deaths in the U.S., there were 586 unintentional firearm deaths in 2014, …

FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.

Mar 10, 2017 · On Sunday night, James will square off against the only person ahead of him on that list: Houston guard and MVP front-runner James Harden, who tosses 25 percent of his …

Nov 8, 2022 · Live results and coverage of the 2022 Midterm elections, including the latest updates on the race for control of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives, as well …

Jun 2, 2021 · Last year, the Miami Marlins were the biggest surprise in baseball, overcoming modest preseason expectations — and an early season COVID-19 outbreak — to not …

Mar 2, 2020 · If they maintained their .778 point percentage in overtime and shootout games but played in a league-average number of them, their overall point percentage would rise from …

Aug 24, 2017 · We compared the recent recruiting success of all FBS teams against their actual on-field success.

Oct 31, 2022 · The 14 historical teams that started 5-0 at home in the postseason posted an average winning percentage of .586 at home over the rest of the playoffs — a bit better than …